November 15, 2022
Briefing

Open Letter to Jeremy Hunt

Rt Hon Jeremy Hunt MP

Chancellor of the Exchequer

HM Treasury

1 Horse Guards Road

Westminster

London

SW1A 2HQ

Dear Chancellor,

We are writing to you ahead of your Autumn Statement on 17th November to urge you to take this opportunity to invest in the UK’s public services, social safety net, and clean energy infrastructure and not to undermine the economy with another programme of real terms public spending cuts.

The financial crisis occasioned by the ‘mini-Budget’ on 23rd September has significantly undermined the UK’s economic outlook. This year, we face the twin challenges of a deepening recession and period of high inflation, which will exacerbate an already devastating cost of living crisis for millions.

Supporting people and the economy to overcome this crisis as quickly as possible should be the priority of government economic policy at this time. 

Household finances across the country are in crisis, our public finances are not. The UK debt to GDP ratio may have risen in response to additional borrowing during the pandemic, but it is not high by international standards. While borrowing costs have risen because of poor economic decisions made recently, they still remain low by international standards. There is significant potential to increase revenue-raising through reforms to the tax system and increasing taxes on wealth. The UK deficit next year will be the second lowest in the G7 as a percentage of GDP.

Although the situation is not identical, the lessons from the imposition of austerity in the UK and across Europe post 2008 are clear. Spending cuts applied to an economy attempting to recover from an economic shock worsen the impact of that shock and cause lasting economic and social damage. The International Monetary Fund is amongst those stressing this lesson be learned by those governing advanced economies.

Imposing further spending cuts now would condemn the country to further years of economic stagnation and failing public services, and would constitute an act of incredible economic self-harm. Reducing government capital spending would be a false economy, starving our economy of the very investment that will be the foundation of our future economic growth.

Media reports of ‘fiscal black holes’ and the anticipation of the Office for Budgetary Responsibility’s verdict on the Autumn Statement risk falling into the trap of seeing the current economic situation through a narrow lens of budgetary balance, rather than the overall health of the economy. This narrow view leads to the false conclusion, widely reported in the media, that the government’s primary economic task is to cut spending until it is in compliance with the current fiscal rules. 

Instead, we would urge you to find more flexibility in the current fiscal rules, for example extending or deprioritising the debt-to-GDP target.

To the extent that the deficit does need to be closed, we would urge you to look at revenue-raising measures that would begin to address the stark rise in inequality during the pandemic and its aftermath, including a proper windfall tax on energy company profits and the equalisation of capital gains and income tax rates so that those with the broadest shoulders bear the greatest burden.

As the new Stop the Squeeze campaign argues, there are different choices to be made, and these choices are popular across the political spectrum. Only 21% of those who voted for the Conservatives in 2019 think that cuts are an inevitable response to the current financial situation according to polling firm Opinium, while 62% of those voters think that the richest should pay more in tax.

As the Prime Minister argued in his Downing Street speech, these are the voters on whose mandate your government rests. We urge you to listen to them.

Yours sincerely,

Susan Himmelweit, Emeritus Professor of Economics, The Open University

Josh Ryan-Collins, Associate Professor in Economics and Finance, UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose

Malcolm Sawyer, Emeritus Professor of Economics, University of Leeds

Steve Keen, Distinguished Research Fellow, UCL

David Vines, Emeritus Professor of Economics and Emeritus Fellow of Balliol College , Oxford University

Andrew Cumbers, Professor of Political Economy, University of Glasgow

Simon Wren-Lewis, Emeritus Professor, Oxford University

Jeanette Findlay, Professor of Economics, University of Glasgow

Lord Prem Sikka, Emeritus Professor, University of Essex and University of Sheffield

Henrietta Moore , Founder and Director, Institute for Global Prosperity, UCL

Maureen Mackintosh, Emeritus Professor of Economics, The Open University

Jason Hickel, Professor, London School of Economics

Diane Elson, Emeritus Professor, University of Essex

Rick Van Der Ploeg, Professor of Economics, University of Oxford

Engelbert Stockhammer, Professor of Political Economy, King's College London

Barbara Harriss-White, Emeritus Professor of Development Studies, Emeritus Fellow of Wolfson College Oxford, Wolfson College, Oxford University

Michael Jacobs, Professor of Political Economy, University of Sheffield 

Judith Heyer, Emeritus Economics Fellow, Somerville College, Oxford University

Dimitri Zenghelis, Special Advisor, Bennett Institute, University of Cambridge

Ann Pettifor, Director, Policy Research in Macroeconomics

Pritam Singh, Professor Emeritus, Oxford Brookes Business School

Frances Stewart, Profesor Emeritus of Development Economics, University of Oxford

Sergio Rossi, Professor of Economics, University of Fribourg

Aiora Zabala, Lecturer in Economics, The Open University

Lorena Lombardozzi, Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University

Jerome De Henau, Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University

Sue Konzelmann, Professor of Economics, Birkbeck, University of London

Kate Pickett, Professor of Epidemiology, University of York

Roberto Veneziani, Professor of Economics, Queen Mary University of London

Baseerit Nissah, Lecturer and Staff Tutor in Economics, The Open University

Antonio Rodriguez Gil, Economics Lecturer, University of Leeds

Christopher Cramer, Professor of the Political Economy of Development, SOAS, University of London

Alison Green, Senior Lecturer, The Open University

Jonquil Lowe, Senior Lecturer in Economics and Personal Finance, The Open University

Kevin Deane, Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University

Daniele Tori, Lecturer in Finance, The Open University

Anthony Thirlwall, Professor of Applied Economics, University of Kent

Mimoza Shabani, Senior Lecturer in Financial Economics, University of East London

Janet Cole, Staff Tutor in Economics, The Open University

Kate Raworth, Co-founder, Doughnut Economics Action Lab

Patrick Allen, Chair, Progressive Economy Forum

Mehmet Ugur, Professor of Economics and Institutions, University of Greenwich

Stewart Lansley, Visiting Fellow, University of Bristol

Teresa Thorp, Retired Economist, Oxford University

Joshua Farley, Professor in Community Development and Applied Economics, University of Vermont

Ozlem Onaran, Professor of Economics, University of Greenwich

Leslie Huckfield, Lecturer in Business Management, Glasgow Caledonian University 

Jo Michell, Associate Professor of Economics, University of the West of England

Mark Blyth, Professor of International Economics, Brown University

Richard Murphy, Professor of Accounting Practice, Sheffield University Management School 

Diego Sánchez-Ancochea, Head of the Oxford Department of International Development, University of Oxford

Hannah Bargawi, Reader in Economics, SOAS University of London

Miguel Niño-Zarazúa, SenIor Lecturer in Development Economics, SOAS University of London

Cyrus Bina, Emeritus Professor of Economics, University of Minnesota

Christine Cooper, Professor, Edinburgh University

Stephanie Manea, Lecturer in Economics, SOAS University of London

Elisa Van Waeyenberge, Professor of Development Economics, SOAS University of London

Natassia Nascimento, Teaching Fellow, SOAS University of London

Christina Laskaridis, Assistant Professor in Economics, The University of Oxford

Hugo Radice, Life Fellow, University of Leeds

Emilie Rutledge, Economics Lecturer, The Open University

Tony Yates, Independent Economist, former Professor of Economics, University of Birmingham 

Laurence Jones-Williams, Director, Rethinking Economics International

Samuele Bibi, Assistant Professor in Economics, Northumbria University

Hanna Szymborska, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Birmingham City University

Stefanos Ioannou, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Oxford Brookes University

Jonathan Perraton, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Sheffield University

Plamen Ivanov, Senior Lecturer in Banking, University of Winchester

Michalis Nikiforos, Associate Professor, University of Geneva

Grahame Thompson, Emeritus Professor of Political Economy, The Open University

Daniele Tori, Lecturer in Finance, The Open University 

Philip Whyman, Professor of Economics, University of Central Lancashire

Imko Meyenburg, Senior Lecturer in Economics and International Business, Anglia Ruskin University

M. Kerem Coban, Assistant Professor, Kadir Has University

Jose Pérez-Montiel, Professor of Economic History, University of the Balearic Islands

Marco Veronese Passarella, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Leeds

Joel Rabinovich, Lecturer in International Political Economy, King's College London

Danilo Spinola, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Birmingham City University

Bruno Bonizzi, Senior Lecturer, University of Hertfordshire

Eduardo Strachman, Associate Professor of Economics, São Paulo State University

Esra Ugurlu, Lecturer in Economics, University of Leeds

Ryan Woodgate, Research Associate and Lecturer in Macroeconomics and International Economics, Berlin School of Economics and Law

Paul Hudson, Retired Environmental Economist, University of York

Dominik Leusder, Economist, London School of Economics and Political Science

Kalim Siddiqui, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Huddersfield

Michael Edwards, Hon Professor, Economics of Planning, UCL

Jeff Powell, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Greenwich

Carolyn Sissoko, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of the West of England

Annina Kaltenbrunner, Associate Professor in Economics, University of Leeds

Ben Tippet, Lecturer, University of Greenwich

Neil Lancastle, Senior Lecturer, De Montfort University

Simon  Szreter, Professor of History and Public Policy, University of Cambridge

Christina Wolf, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Hertfordshire

Alberto Botta, Associate Professor in Economics, University of Greenwich

Muhammad Ali Nasir, Associate Professor in Economics, University of Leeds

Andrew Trigg, Professor of Economics, The Open University

Devin Rafferty, Associate Professor in Economics & Finance, St. Peter's University

Simon Mohun, Emeritus Professor of Political Economy, Queen Mary University of London

Emanuele Citera, Assistant Professor of Economics, St. Lawrence University

Jean Luc De Meulemeester, Professor, Université Libre de Bruxelles

James Meadway, Director, Progressive Economy Forum

Serena Merrino, Lecturer, University College London

Chris Marme, Professor of Economics, Augustana College

Lea Steininger, Economist, UC Berkeley; WU Vienna

Sunanda Sen, Retired Economics Professor, Jawaharlal Nehru University 

Ewa Karwowski, Lecturer in Development Economics , King's College London 

Mary Wrenn, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of the West of England

Guglielmo Forges Davanzati, Professor of the History of Economic Thought, University of Salento

Satoshi Miyamura, Senior Lecturer in the Economy of Japan, SOAS University of London

Sara Maioli, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Newcastle University

Livio Di Matteo, Professor of Economics, Lakehead University

Howard Reed, Director, Landman Economics

David Barlow, Lecturer in Economics, Newcastle University Business School

Dr Guy Standing FAcSS, Professorial Research Associate, SOAS University of London

Carlos Oya, Professor of Political Economy of Development, SOAS University of London

Jonathan Di John, Senior Lecturer in Political Economy, SOAS University of London

Mick Moore, Professorial Fellow, International Centre for Tax and Development

Jane Lethbridge, Associate Professor in Public Policy, University of Greenwich

Andrew Denis, Emeritus Fellow, City University of London

Ilhan Dögüs, Independent Economist